BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Waterloo West

Class: 4A Class Rank: 25 Conference: 4A-6 Record: (4-8-0) Overall: (36-57-0) Overall Strength =   82.19

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/26/2011 Away    L    66.43  34  48   3A  36 ( 33- 60-  0) Dubuque Wahlert       -15.60      1.60                      
  2 09/02/2011 Home    L    45.08  13  52   4A  21 ( 46- 51-  0) Iowa City High        -36.95     -2.05                      
  3 09/09/2011 Home    L    79.56  21  24 1 4A  23 ( 42- 51-  0) Dubuque Senior         -2.47     -0.53                      
  4 09/16/2011 Away    L *  52.07   0  40   4A  16 ( 43- 50-  0) Marion Linn-Mar       -29.97    -10.03                      
  5 09/23/2011 Away    L    46.55   7  26   3A  51 ( 17- 75-  0) Waterloo East         -35.48     16.48                      
  6 09/30/2011 Away    L    65.21  14  35   4A  22 ( 41- 52-  0) Dubuque Hempstead     -16.82     -4.18                      
  7 10/07/2011 Home    L    61.57   7  49   4A   9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls           -20.46    -21.54                      
  8 10/14/2011 Home    L    74.33  19  42   4A  13 ( 65- 41-  0) CR Kennedy             -7.70    -15.30                      
  9 10/20/2011 Away    L    54.41   7  49   4A  15 ( 65- 40-  0) CR Washington         -27.63    -14.37                      
 10 08/24/2012 Home    L    81.56  20  21 1 4A  23 ( 42- 51-  0) Dubuque Senior         -0.47     -0.53                      
 11 08/31/2012 Away    L    57.63  19  49   4A  21 ( 46- 51-  0) Iowa City High        -24.41     -5.59                      
 12 09/07/2012 Home    W * 101.52  27  14   4A  16 ( 43- 50-  0) Marion Linn-Mar        19.49     -6.49                      
 13 09/14/2012 Away    L   106.12  16  17   4A   9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls            24.08    -25.08                      
 14 09/21/2012 Home    W   102.86  40  30   4A  15 ( 65- 40-  0) CR Washington          20.83    -10.83                      
 15 09/28/2012 Home    L    56.01  21  27 1 3A  51 ( 17- 75-  0) Waterloo East         -26.02     20.02                      
 16 10/05/2012 Away    L    78.77  14  49   3A   2 (103- 17-  0) CR Xavier              -3.26    -31.74                      
 17 10/12/2012 Home    W   116.89  40   0   3A  36 ( 33- 60-  0) Dubuque Wahlert        34.85      5.15                      
 18 10/19/2012 Away    L    74.13   7  31   4A  14 ( 58- 42-  0) CR Prairie             -7.90    -16.10                      
 19 10/24/2012 Away    L    80.41  13  41   4A   8 ( 80- 30-  0) Iowa City West         -1.63    -26.37                      
 20 08/29/2013 Away    W    92.11  13   7   4A  23 ( 42- 51-  0) Dubuque Senior         10.07     -4.07  NC                  
 21 09/06/2013 Home    L    76.08  34  42   4A  21 ( 46- 51-  0) Iowa City High         -5.95     -2.05  NC                  
 22 09/13/2013 Away    L *  68.07  35  59   4A  16 ( 43- 50-  0) Marion Linn-Mar       -13.97    -10.03                      
 23 09/20/2013 Home    W   104.57  17  16   4A   9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls            22.54    -21.54                      
 24 09/26/2013 Away    L    95.41  27  28   4A  15 ( 65- 40-  0) CR Washington          13.37    -14.37                      
 25 10/04/2013 Away    W    93.55  28   0   3A  51 ( 17- 75-  0) Waterloo East          11.52     16.48                      
 26 10/11/2013 Home    L    84.23  14  40   3A   2 (103- 17-  0) CR Xavier               2.20    -28.20                      
 27 10/18/2013 Away    W   122.43  52  10   3A  36 ( 33- 60-  0) Dubuque Wahlert        40.40      1.60                      
 28 10/25/2013 Home    L    93.59  29  30   4A  14 ( 58- 42-  0) CR Prairie             11.56    -12.56                      
 29 10/30/2013 Away    L    92.61  14  26   4A  10 ( 75- 31-  0) Pleasant Valley        10.58    -22.58                      
 30 08/29/2014 Home    L    73.89  13  31   3A  18 ( 63- 37-  0) Waverly-Shell Rock     -8.14     -9.86                      
 31 09/05/2014 Away    L    72.11  19  33   4A  23 ( 42- 51-  0) Dubuque Senior         -9.93     -4.07                      
 32 09/12/2014 Away    L    70.22  33  52   4A  20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge            -11.81     -7.19                      
 33 09/19/2014 Home    W    87.81  33  13   3A  45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City              5.78     14.22                      
 34 09/26/2014 Home    L    71.57  10  42   4A   9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls           -10.46    -21.54                      
 35 10/03/2014 Away    W   101.55  42   6   3A  51 ( 17- 75-  0) Waterloo East          19.52     16.48                      
 36 10/10/2014 Away    W *  85.34  23  17   4A  29 ( 24- 68-  0) CR Jefferson            3.30      2.70                      
 37 10/17/2014 Home    L *  53.52  28  63   4A  16 ( 43- 50-  0) Marion Linn-Mar       -28.51     -6.49                      
 38 10/24/2014 Away    L    80.87  28  48   4A  13 ( 65- 41-  0) CR Kennedy             -1.16    -18.84                      
 39 08/28/2015 Away    L    88.44  13  20   3A  18 ( 63- 37-  0) Waverly-Shell Rock      6.40    -13.40  ND                  
 40 09/04/2015 Home    W   100.56  35  17   4A  23 ( 42- 51-  0) Dubuque Senior         18.53     -0.53  ND                  
 41 09/11/2015 Home    L    45.68   7  47   4A  20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge            -36.36     -3.64  ND                  
 42 09/18/2015 Away    W    93.35  34  12   3A  45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             11.32     10.68  ND                  
 43 09/25/2015 Away    L    93.12  14  28   4A   9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls            11.08    -25.08                      
 44 10/02/2015 Home    W    99.01  50  13   3A  51 ( 17- 75-  0) Waterloo East          16.98     20.02                      
 45 10/09/2015 Home    L *  46.79  15  44   4A  29 ( 24- 68-  0) CR Jefferson          -35.24      6.24                      
 46 10/16/2015 Away    L *  79.07  13  26   4A  16 ( 43- 50-  0) Marion Linn-Mar        -2.97    -10.03                      
 47 10/23/2015 Home    L    71.33  13  39   4A  13 ( 65- 41-  0) CR Kennedy            -10.70    -15.30                      
 48 08/26/2016 Home    W   112.56  37   7   4A  23 ( 42- 51-  0) Dubuque Senior         30.53     -0.53  ND                  
 49 09/02/2016 Home    W    83.67  14  13   4A  22 ( 41- 52-  0) Dubuque Hempstead       1.63     -0.63  ND                  
 50 09/09/2016 Away    W   119.57  38  14   3A  17 ( 63- 40-  0) Western Dubuque        37.54    -13.54  ND                  
 51 09/16/2016 Away    W   114.23  41   7   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           32.20      1.80  ND                  
 52 09/23/2016 Home    W   116.01  61   7   3A  51 ( 17- 75-  0) Waterloo East          33.98     20.02                      
 53 09/29/2016 Away    W *  94.34  35  20   4A  29 ( 24- 68-  0) CR Jefferson           12.30      2.70                      
 54 10/07/2016 Away    W   114.12  21  14   4A   9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls            32.08    -25.08                      
 55 10/14/2016 Home    W   102.81  41   6   3A  45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             20.78     14.22                      
 56 10/21/2016 Home    L    78.86  21  35   4A  15 ( 65- 40-  0) CR Washington          -3.17    -10.83                      
 57 10/28/2016 Away    L    67.13  35  66   4A  14 ( 58- 42-  0) CR Prairie            -14.90    -16.10                      
 58 08/25/2017 Away    W   101.11  28  13   4A  23 ( 42- 51-  0) Dubuque Senior         19.07     -4.07  ND                  
 59 09/01/2017 Away    W   112.21  33   7   4A  22 ( 41- 52-  0) Dubuque Hempstead      30.18     -4.18  ND                  
 60 09/08/2017 Home    L    84.03  14  22   3A  17 ( 63- 40-  0) Western Dubuque         2.00    -10.00  ND                  
 61 09/15/2017 Home    W   118.69  56  14   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           36.66      5.34  ND                  
 62 09/22/2017 Away    W   117.55  58   6   3A  51 ( 17- 75-  0) Waterloo East          35.52     16.48                      
 63 09/29/2017 Home    L *  71.79  17  21   4A  29 ( 24- 68-  0) CR Jefferson          -10.24      6.24                      
 64 10/06/2017 Home    L    65.57   0  38   4A   9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls           -16.46    -21.54                      
 65 10/13/2017 Away    L    70.35  28  29 1 3A  45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City            -11.68     10.68                      
 66 10/19/2017 Away    W    99.41  38  35   4A  15 ( 65- 40-  0) CR Washington          17.37    -14.37                      
 67 08/24/2018 Away    W    79.55  34  20   3A  51 ( 17- 75-  0) Waterloo East          -2.48     16.48  ND                  
 68 08/31/2018 Home    W   101.81  34   0   3A  45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             19.78     14.22  ND                  
 69 09/07/2018 Home    L    63.10   7  49   4A   7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial     -18.94    -23.06  ND                  
 70 09/14/2018 Away    W    95.34  60  28   3A  52 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Hoover      13.31     18.69  ND                  
 71 09/20/2018 Away    L *  77.34  19  21   4A  29 ( 24- 68-  0) CR Jefferson           -4.70      2.70                      
 72 09/28/2018 Home    L    75.56  20  27   4A  23 ( 42- 51-  0) Dubuque Senior         -6.47     -0.53                      
 73 10/05/2018 Home    L    48.57   0  55   4A   9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls           -33.46    -21.54                      
 74 10/12/2018 Away    L    42.13  14  70   4A  14 ( 58- 42-  0) CR Prairie            -39.90    -16.10                      
 75 10/19/2018 Home    L    68.67  14  28   4A  22 ( 41- 52-  0) Dubuque Hempstead     -13.37     -0.63                      
 76 08/30/2019 Home    W    69.01  26  19   3A  51 ( 17- 75-  0) Waterloo East         -13.02     20.02  ND                  
 77 09/06/2019 Away    W   112.35  54  13   3A  45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             30.32     10.68  ND                  
 78 09/13/2019 Away    L   100.64  13  21   4A   7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      18.61    -26.61  ND                  
 79 09/20/2019 Home    W    79.80  28   8   3A  52 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Hoover      -2.23     22.23  ND                  
 80 09/27/2019 Home    L *  65.79  21  31   4A  29 ( 24- 68-  0) CR Jefferson          -16.24      6.24                      
 81 10/04/2019 Away    L    72.11  14  28   4A  23 ( 42- 51-  0) Dubuque Senior         -9.93     -4.07                      
 82 10/11/2019 Away    L    76.12  17  48   4A   9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls            -5.92    -25.08                      
 83 10/18/2019 Home    L    45.59  13  62   4A  14 ( 58- 42-  0) CR Prairie            -36.44    -12.56                      
 84 10/25/2019 Away    L    82.21  34  38   4A  22 ( 41- 52-  0) Dubuque Hempstead       0.18     -4.18                      
 85 08/28/2020 Away    W    89.55  38  14   3A  51 ( 17- 75-  0) Waterloo East           7.52     16.48  ND                  
 86 09/04/2020 Home    L    64.57   0  39   4A   9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls           -17.46    -21.54                      
 87 09/11/2020 Home    W    87.97  37  14   2A  38 ( 34- 60-  0) Anamosa                 5.94     17.06  ND                  
 88 09/18/2020 Away    W * 110.34  45  14   4A  29 ( 24- 68-  0) CR Jefferson           28.30      2.70                      
 89 09/25/2020 Home    L    44.56   7  45   4A  23 ( 42- 51-  0) Dubuque Senior        -37.47     -0.53                      
 90 10/02/2020 Away    L    73.87  21  48   4A  13 ( 65- 41-  0) CR Kennedy             -8.16    -18.84                      
 91 10/09/2020 Home    L    44.67  14  52   4A  22 ( 41- 52-  0) Dubuque Hempstead     -37.37     -0.63                      
 92 10/23/2020 Home    W    92.68  24  17   4A  20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge             10.64     -3.64                      
 93 10/30/2020 Away    L    98.02  12  38   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            15.99    -41.99                      
      Averages              82.19  24.3 28.8

Best game:  122.43 = 42 point win over Dubuque Wahlert
Worst game:  42.13 = 56 point loss to Cedar Rapids Prairie
Team stdev:  20.88